SPWH

Uncrewed surface vessels for small satellites.

Industrials & defensePre-seedChicago, IL
Odds to close a Seed in 12 months36.2%Range 23%–52%
15 of 19 applicable signals known, low confidence
0.0 today0.0 30 days
Unlikely
+23.3 pts over the past 180 days
25%50%
Last roundPre-seed, $2.2M
Led byReach Capital
Months since45
Total raised$2.2M
Headcount8
Founded2022

Factors

Factors are groups of signals that can contribute to a company’s success. Each is marked positive or negative for its odds. They’re indicators, not guarantees; together, and tested against real outcomes, they become predictive.

Founders53Neutral5 of 6 signals known
Traction52Neutral1 of 2 signals known
Hiring50Neutral3 of 3 signals known
Capital37Negative2 of 3 signals known
Network75Positive3 of 3 signals known
Product50Neutral1 of 2 signals known

SignalValueEffect on odds
Network1 of 3 pushing up+0.77 net
Founders3 of 6 pushing up+0.07 net
Traction1 of 2 pushing up+0.05 net
Product1 of 2 pushing up+0.01 net
Hiring0 of 3 pushing up+0.01 net
Capital0 of 3 pushing up−0.37 net

8 signals don’t apply to Industrials & defense companies at Pre-seed and aren’t counted.

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